Question

Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between India and Pakistan in 2024?

10 comments10

Total Forecasters430

Community Prediction1.5% (0.8% - 5%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1.5%

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Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

Indo-Pakistani wars and conflicts

Cease-fire urged amid escalating conflict between Palestine, Israel

•Dec 14, 2024

Major international figures who died in 2024

FOX News•Dec 16, 2024

Russia Warns Of NATO War Within 10 Years

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will armed conflicts between India and Pakistan lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

83%

Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

25%

Will there be a China-India war by 2035?

15%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

Indo-Pakistani wars and conflicts

Cease-fire urged amid escalating conflict between Palestine, Israel

•Dec 14, 2024

Major international figures who died in 2024

FOX News•Dec 16, 2024

Russia Warns Of NATO War Within 10 Years

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will armed conflicts between India and Pakistan lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

83%

Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

25%

Will there be a China-India war by 2035?

15%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

MetaculusM

Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between India and Pakistan in 2024?

Make a Prediction

Will armed conflicts between India and Pakistan lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will there be a China-India war by 2035?

Comments

Will armed conflicts between India and Pakistan lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will there be a China-India war by 2035?

Will armed conflicts between India and Pakistan lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will there be a China-India war by 2035?

Will armed conflicts between India and Pakistan lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will there be a China-India war by 2035?