Question

Will there be 100 or more military conflict deaths between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 2024?

Resolved :No1%

16 comments16

Total Forecasters411

Community Prediction1% (0.1% - 2%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

92.0

Community Peer Score

39.6

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Jan 1, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2025

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

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