Question

Will SpaceX attempt to catch a Starship booster with the tower in 2024?

Resolved :Yes

50 comments50

Total Forecasters479

Community Prediction80%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 80%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-13.6

Community Peer Score

33.2

median 80.0%mean 77.8%

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

Will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit in 2024?

When will the sixth Starship integrated flight test achieve liftoff?

2024-11-19

Will SpaceX re-use a Starship booster before October 1, 2025?

80%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

Elon Musk’s SpaceX is trying for second successful ‘Mechazilla’ rocket catch with new Starship launch

New York Post•Nov 14, 2024

SpaceX Plans 6th Starship Flight Test, Repeat Midair Rocket Catch

Daily Wire•Nov 19, 2024

Starship flight 6 launch: SpaceX to attempt rocket booster landing at ‘Mechazilla’ tower

CNN•Nov 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit in 2024?

When will the sixth Starship integrated flight test achieve liftoff?

2024-11-19

Will SpaceX re-use a Starship booster before October 1, 2025?

80%