Question

Will Donald Trump be convicted of a felony before the 2024 presidential election?

Resolved :Yes

105 comments105

Total Forecasters922

Community Prediction64%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 64%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-3.3

Community Peer Score

21.5

median 64.0%mean 63.7%

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

2024 Russian presidential election

Will Donald J. Trump be convicted of at least one count in his federal court cases before the end of 2024?

0.1%

If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?

2029-10-05

Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?

Comments

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