🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2025?

Resolved :No0.3%
6
7
Total Forecasters521
Community Prediction0.3% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.3%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
94.4
Community Peer Score
13.0
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
NMorrisonGaia
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
Geopolitics
2024 Leaderboard
Energoatom
War in Donbass
International Nuclear Event Scale
Zaporizhia Nuclear Power Plant
International Atomic Energy Agency
Ukraine

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