M

Question

Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2025?

Resolved :No0.3%
Total Forecasters521
Community Prediction0.3% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.3%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
94.4
Community Peer Score
13.0
Opened:Jan 1, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025

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