Question
Will the International Court of Justice order provisional measures against Israel before March 1, 2024?
Resolved :Yes52%Total Forecasters238
Community Prediction52% (43% - 62%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?Yes
Community Baseline Score
-4.2
Community Peer Score
37.6
Authors:
Opened:Jan 8, 2024
Closes:Jan 20, 2024
Resolves:Jan 26, 2024
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will Israel be found guilty in South Africa's genocide case by the ICJ before January 1, 2027?
66.7%
Will the International Court of Justice rule before 2040 that Russia must pay reparations to Ukraine?
70%
Before January 1, 2026, will Israel formally lift its warnings against Palestinians returning to northern Gaza?
95%
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Jan 8, 2024
Closes:Jan 20, 2024
Resolves:Jan 26, 2024
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will Israel be found guilty in South Africa's genocide case by the ICJ before January 1, 2027?
66.7%
Will the International Court of Justice rule before 2040 that Russia must pay reparations to Ukraine?
70%
Before January 1, 2026, will Israel formally lift its warnings against Palestinians returning to northern Gaza?
95%