Question

Will the International Court of Justice order provisional measures against Israel before March 1, 2024?

Resolved :Yes

66 comments66

Total Forecasters238

Community Prediction52%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 52%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-4.2

Community Peer Score

37.6

median 52.0%mean 52.7%

Authors:

Doryphore

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🏆 Q1 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆

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Comments

? comments

Authors:

Doryphore

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🏆 Q1 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Geopolitics

International Court of Justice

Provisional measure of protection

International Court Releases Detailed Hearing Schedule For Climate Change Opinion

Forbes•Nov 13, 2024

Unpacking the UN findings of war crimes by Hamas and Israel since October 7

•Nov 14, 2024

Israel accused of war crimes for Gaza forced displacement policy

•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the International Court of Justice rule before 2040 that Russia must pay reparations to Ukraine?

75%

Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza?