Question

When will legal international trade in recreational cannabis take place?

Total Forecasters9

Community Prediction2029-12-12 (2028-10-29 - 2031-02-06)

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CDF

weight:

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>2033-12-31
community	Oct 2028	Dec 2029	Feb 2031	7.7%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	Oct 2028	—
median	Dec 2029	—
upper 75%	Feb 2031	—
Upper bound
>2033-12-31	7.7%	—

Authors:

BrunoParga

Opened:

Feb 25, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2033

Scheduled resolution:

Feb 1, 2034

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How many countries will, at least in some form, decriminalize possession of all Schedule I drugs for personal use by 2070?

59.9

When will Germany legalize cannabis for recreational use?

2028-01-29

When will the UK legalise the recreational use of cannabis?

2032-11-16

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