Question

Will state-based conflict between Iran and Azerbaijan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

2 comments2

Total Forecasters10

Community Prediction24% (4.4% - 27.5%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 24%

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Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Iran

Azerbaijan

Uppsala Conflict Data Program

“7 countries in 5 years”: Regime change in Iran coming soon?

Strategic Culture•Dec 18, 2024

Iran Is a Bomb Waiting to Explode. Will This Light the Fuse?

PJ Media•Dec 20, 2024

Iran's Stability Is Unraveling From the Inside

Time•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will state-based conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

20%

Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

25%

Will state-based conflict between Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

30%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Iran

Azerbaijan

Uppsala Conflict Data Program

“7 countries in 5 years”: Regime change in Iran coming soon?

Strategic Culture•Dec 18, 2024

Iran Is a Bomb Waiting to Explode. Will This Light the Fuse?

PJ Media•Dec 20, 2024

Iran's Stability Is Unraveling From the Inside

Time•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will state-based conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

20%

Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

25%

Will state-based conflict between Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

30%

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MetaculusM

Will state-based conflict between Iran and Azerbaijan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Make a Prediction

Will state-based conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will state-based conflict between Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Comments

Will state-based conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will state-based conflict between Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will state-based conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will state-based conflict between Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will state-based conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will state-based conflict between Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?