Question

Will state-based conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

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Total Forecasters15

Community Prediction20% (14% - 30%)

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50%

community: 20%

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Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Uppsala Conflict Data Program

“7 countries in 5 years”: Regime change in Iran coming soon?

Strategic Culture•Dec 18, 2024

Israel Strikes Yemen’s Rebel-Held Capital and Port City After Houthi Attack

Time•Dec 19, 2024

Iran Faces a Sobering Recalibration of its Regional Ambitions

CounterPunch•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025?

Will state-based conflict between Iran and Azerbaijan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

24%

Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

25%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Uppsala Conflict Data Program

“7 countries in 5 years”: Regime change in Iran coming soon?

Strategic Culture•Dec 18, 2024

Israel Strikes Yemen’s Rebel-Held Capital and Port City After Houthi Attack

Time•Dec 19, 2024

Iran Faces a Sobering Recalibration of its Regional Ambitions

CounterPunch•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025?

Will state-based conflict between Iran and Azerbaijan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

24%

Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

25%

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Will state-based conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Make a Prediction

Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025?

Will state-based conflict between Iran and Azerbaijan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Comments

Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025?

Will state-based conflict between Iran and Azerbaijan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025?

Will state-based conflict between Iran and Azerbaijan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025?

Will state-based conflict between Iran and Azerbaijan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?