Question

Will Ethiopia formally recognise Somaliland in 2024?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters27

Community Prediction8% (1% - 15%)

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50%

community: 8%

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Authors:

skmmcj

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Ministry of Foreign Affairs (Ethiopia)

Siad Barre

Ethiopia

State of Somaliland

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Will there be at least 200 military conflict deaths between Ethiopia, Somalia, and Somaliland in 2024?

0.5%

When will at least 10 countries formally recognize Somaliland as an independent state?

2045-11-22

Will there be 100 or more military conflict deaths between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 2024?

Comments

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Authors:

skmmcj

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Ministry of Foreign Affairs (Ethiopia)

Siad Barre

Ethiopia

State of Somaliland

Is Francafrique ending? Why Senegal is cutting military ties with France

Al Jazeera•Dec 16, 2024

Negotiators say Israel and Hamas are inching toward a ceasefire deal. This is what it may look like

Associated Press•Dec 17, 2024

Somalia, Ethiopia agree on compromise to end tension, Turkish leader says

Al Jazeera•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be at least 200 military conflict deaths between Ethiopia, Somalia, and Somaliland in 2024?

0.5%

When will at least 10 countries formally recognize Somaliland as an independent state?

2045-11-22

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Will Ethiopia formally recognise Somaliland in 2024?

Make a Prediction

Will there be at least 200 military conflict deaths between Ethiopia, Somalia, and Somaliland in 2024?

When will at least 10 countries formally recognize Somaliland as an independent state?

Will there be 100 or more military conflict deaths between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 2024?

Comments

Will there be at least 200 military conflict deaths between Ethiopia, Somalia, and Somaliland in 2024?

When will at least 10 countries formally recognize Somaliland as an independent state?

Will there be 100 or more military conflict deaths between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 2024?

Will there be at least 200 military conflict deaths between Ethiopia, Somalia, and Somaliland in 2024?

When will at least 10 countries formally recognize Somaliland as an independent state?

Will there be 100 or more military conflict deaths between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 2024?

Will there be at least 200 military conflict deaths between Ethiopia, Somalia, and Somaliland in 2024?

When will at least 10 countries formally recognize Somaliland as an independent state?

Will there be 100 or more military conflict deaths between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 2024?