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Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?

16 comments16

Forecast Timeline

South Korea

Japan

Ukraine

Finland

Poland

Germany

Make a Prediction

Candidates		My Prediction		Me
South Korea	1%

Japan	1%

Ukraine	1%

Finland	1%

Poland	1%

Germany	1%

Saudi Arabia	1%

Taiwan	1%

Saudi Arabia	annulled

Authors:

Dumbledores_Army

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Russo-Ukrainian War

Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute

International Atomic Energy Agency

Japan

Joe Biden

Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?

How many nuclear weapon states will there be in 2030?

Will there be nuclear conflict between any of the US, China, and Taiwan before the following years?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Dumbledores_Army

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Russo-Ukrainian War

Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute

International Atomic Energy Agency

Japan

Joe Biden

MetaculusM

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Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?

Forecast Timeline

Make a Prediction

Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?

How many nuclear weapon states will there be in 2030?

Will there be nuclear conflict between any of the US, China, and Taiwan before the following years?

Comments

Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?

How many nuclear weapon states will there be in 2030?

Will there be nuclear conflict between any of the US, China, and Taiwan before the following years?

Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?

How many nuclear weapon states will there be in 2030?

Will there be nuclear conflict between any of the US, China, and Taiwan before the following years?

Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?

How many nuclear weapon states will there be in 2030?

Will there be nuclear conflict between any of the US, China, and Taiwan before the following years?