Question

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

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Total Forecasters61

Community Prediction8%

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community: 8%

median 8.0%mean 16.3%

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Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

10%

Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?

20%

NATO Troops in Ukraine by 2027? → Conflict of Russia and NATO State by 2027?

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US Ready to Back Ukraine's NATO Bid: Report

Newsweek•Oct 20, 2024

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Ukraine war ending scenarios

Strategic Culture•Oct 23, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

10%

Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?

20%