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Question

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 1000 deaths and/or at least $200B 2021 USD in economic damage?

10
5
Total Forecasters36
Community Prediction25%

Make a Prediction

community: 25%
median 25.0%mean 30.5%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
PeterWildeford
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
Robotics
Machine learning
Artificial intelligence
Technology
Computer science
Tesla
Maneuvering Characteristics Augmentation System
Anthropic principle
Information technology
Boeing

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