Question

Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?

16 comments16

Total Forecasters86

Community Prediction35.2% (25% - 40%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 35.2%

Authors:

MetaCalculator

Opened:

Mar 15, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2027

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2027

Europe quietly works on a plan to send troops to Ukraine for post-war security

Associated Press•Feb 16, 2025

Ukraine's NATO Ally 'Ready' To Deploy Troops

Newsweek•Feb 18, 2025

What might a European military force in Ukraine look like?

Guardian•Feb 17, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

NATO Troops in Ukraine by 2027? → Conflict of Russia and NATO State by 2027?

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

10%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

MetaCalculator

Opened:

Mar 15, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2027

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2027

Europe quietly works on a plan to send troops to Ukraine for post-war security

Associated Press•Feb 16, 2025

Ukraine's NATO Ally 'Ready' To Deploy Troops

Newsweek•Feb 18, 2025

What might a European military force in Ukraine look like?

Guardian•Feb 17, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

NATO Troops in Ukraine by 2027? → Conflict of Russia and NATO State by 2027?

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

10%