80
303 forecasters

Who will be elected President of France in 2027?

Marine Le Pen
18.4%
Jordan Bardella
12.1%
Édouard Philippe
23.3%
Other
23.3%
Top Key Factors
Marine Le Pen, associated with the National Rally, faces legal challenges related to alleged financial irregularities, which could impact her political standing.
Decreases Likelihood
Marine Le Pen's National Rally won 31.5% of the votes in the 2024 European Parliament elections, indicating a strong far-right presence that could challenge Macron's legacy in the 2027 presidential election.
Increases Likelihood
Edouard Philippe has announced his candidacy for the 2027 presidential election, stating he is preparing to make 'massive' proposals to the French people.
Increases Likelihood
Gérald Darmanin, the interior minister, has thrown his support behind Edouard Philippe, stating he is the best person to face Marine Le Pen in 2027.
Increases Likelihood