Question

Who will be elected President of France in 2027?

53 comments53

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 49

Marine Le Pen

Other

Édouard Philippe

Gabriel Attal

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

François Ruffin

Make a Prediction

Candidates		My Prediction		Me
Marine Le Pen	36%

Other	15%

Édouard Philippe	12.3%

Gabriel Attal	7%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon	6.2%

François Ruffin	6%

Jordan Bardella	3%

Gérald Darmanin	2.4%

Bruno Le Maire	1.1%

Total: ?

(? remaining)

Authors:

palcu

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Elections

Presidential elections in France

Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?

Will French president Emmanuel Macron call another snap legislative election before 2026?

45%

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

30%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

palcu

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Elections

Presidential elections in France

Marine Le Pen Defiant as Trial That Could Ban Presidential Run Begins

Breitbart•Oct 1, 2024

The new French prime minister says the country’s ‘colossal’ debt is the ‘sword of Damocles’

Associated Press•Oct 1, 2024

France’s new premier postpones election in restive Pacific territory of New Caledonia

Associated Press•Oct 1, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?

Will French president Emmanuel Macron call another snap legislative election before 2026?

45%

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

30%

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Who will be elected President of France in 2027?

Forecast Timeline

Make a Prediction

Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?

Will French president Emmanuel Macron call another snap legislative election before 2026?

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

Comments

Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?

Will French president Emmanuel Macron call another snap legislative election before 2026?

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?

Will French president Emmanuel Macron call another snap legislative election before 2026?

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?

Will French president Emmanuel Macron call another snap legislative election before 2026?

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?