Question

Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030?

5 comments5

Total Forecasters35

Community Prediction55% (30% - 67%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 55%

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Apr 18, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

From defense to chips, Trump keeps Taiwan guessing

CNN•Feb 16, 2025

China is getting ready to take on Trump

Spectator (UK)•Feb 16, 2025

Is China’s military really built for war? New report questions Beijing’s arms buildup

CNN•Feb 17, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will China cut half or more of the undersea cables that connect Taiwan to the internet before the given years?

Chinese Cyberattack on Taiwan Grid by 2030? → Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Forecast on critical questions on Taiwan 🇹🇼

Comments

? comments

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Apr 18, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

From defense to chips, Trump keeps Taiwan guessing

CNN•Feb 16, 2025

China is getting ready to take on Trump

Spectator (UK)•Feb 16, 2025

Is China’s military really built for war? New report questions Beijing’s arms buildup

CNN•Feb 17, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch