Question

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that Iran will not possess a nuclear weapon on July 31, 2025?

2 comments2

Total Forecasters68

Community Prediction91.3% (86% - 93.6%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 91.3%

Authors:

christian pedroacosta srid

Opened:

Mar 21, 2024

Closes:

Jul 30, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jul 31, 2025

The Bryan Caplan Collection

Nuclear Technology & Risks

2024-2025 Leaderboard

Iran

Bryan Caplan

John Podhoretz

Using Soft Power Against Iran

OpEdNews•Feb 12, 2025

If Iran goes nuclear, B-2 bomber will get the call

FOX News•Feb 12, 2025

US intelligence agencies believe Israel is likely to strike Iranian nuclear facilities this year

CNN•Feb 14, 2025

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