Question

Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan?

5 comments5

Total Forecasters31

Community Prediction5%

Make a Prediction

community: 5%

median 5.0%mean 7.6%

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Will China make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use before if there is interference with Taiwan?

10%

Will there be nuclear conflict between any of the US, China, and Taiwan before the following years?

US Says Will Use Nukes to Defend Taiwan? → US-China war before 2035?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Will China make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use before if there is interference with Taiwan?

10%

MetaculusM

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Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan?

Make a Prediction

Will China make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use before if there is interference with Taiwan?

Will there be nuclear conflict between any of the US, China, and Taiwan before the following years?

US Says Will Use Nukes to Defend Taiwan? → US-China war before 2035?

Comments

Will China make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use before if there is interference with Taiwan?

Will there be nuclear conflict between any of the US, China, and Taiwan before the following years?

US Says Will Use Nukes to Defend Taiwan? → US-China war before 2035?

Will China make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use before if there is interference with Taiwan?

Will there be nuclear conflict between any of the US, China, and Taiwan before the following years?

US Says Will Use Nukes to Defend Taiwan? → US-China war before 2035?

Will China make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use before if there is interference with Taiwan?

Will there be nuclear conflict between any of the US, China, and Taiwan before the following years?

US Says Will Use Nukes to Defend Taiwan? → US-China war before 2035?