M

Question

If the U.S. detonates a nuclear weapon offensively as a first use before 2035, will China have first officially renounced their “no first use” policy?

Total Forecasters12
Community Prediction50% (3.4% - 87%)

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50%
community: 50%
Authors:
Opened:Apr 18, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035

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