Group
Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?
Forecast Timeline
Make a Prediction
| Country | My Prediction | Me | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Iran | 67% | |||
Saudi Arabia | 13% | |||
South Korea | 12% | |||
Poland | 3% | |||
Ukraine | 2% | |||
Turkey | 2% | |||
Japan | 2% | |||
Finland | 1% | |||
Taiwan | 1% | |||
Germany | 1% | |||
Authors:
Opened:Apr 2, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2034
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
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Authors:
Opened:Apr 2, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2034
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch