Question

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that India's average fertility rate for 2032 & 2033 will be < 2.0?

5 comments5

Total Forecasters34

Community Prediction95%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 95%

median 95.0%mean 91.8%

Authors:

srid

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Bryan Caplan Collection

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that Iran will not possess a nuclear weapon on July 31, 2025?

90%

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that real gross world product will not exceed 130% of its previous yearly peak for any single year by January 1, 2043?

86%

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that the college enrollment rate will be greater than 26.6% in 2025?

95%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

srid

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Bryan Caplan Collection

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Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that Iran will not possess a nuclear weapon on July 31, 2025?

90%

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that real gross world product will not exceed 130% of its previous yearly peak for any single year by January 1, 2043?

86%

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that the college enrollment rate will be greater than 26.6% in 2025?

95%