Question

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that India's average fertility rate for 2032 & 2033 will be < 2.0?

5 comments5

Total Forecasters34

Community Prediction95% (90% - 97%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 95%

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

srid

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Bryan Caplan Collection

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Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that Iran will not possess a nuclear weapon on July 31, 2025?

90%

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that real gross world product will not exceed 130% of its previous yearly peak for any single year by January 1, 2043?

84.4%

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that the college enrollment rate will be greater than 26.6% in 2025?

95%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

srid

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Bryan Caplan Collection

International markets face an uncertain 2025. Here's what to look out for

CNBC•Dec 18, 2024

Stock Prices May Fall On More Inflation, Slower Growth, Bitcoin Risk

Forbes•Dec 21, 2024

A ‘pro-America’ India could help New Delhi win over Trump

CNN•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that Iran will not possess a nuclear weapon on July 31, 2025?

90%

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that real gross world product will not exceed 130% of its previous yearly peak for any single year by January 1, 2043?

84.4%

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that the college enrollment rate will be greater than 26.6% in 2025?

95%