Question

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that India's average fertility rate for 2032 & 2033 will be < 2.0?

5 comments5

Total Forecasters34

Community Prediction95% (90% - 98%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 95%

Authors:

srid

Opened:

Mar 21, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2034

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2034

The Bryan Caplan Collection

Warning Issued on 'Population Collapse' by 2100

Newsweek•Jan 21, 2025

Runner-Up: China May Have to Settle for Second Place Behind America

Newsweek•Jan 22, 2025

China's Falling Birth Rate Gets Positive Sign

Newsweek•Jan 23, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that Iran will not possess a nuclear weapon on July 31, 2025?

91.3%

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that real gross world product will not exceed 130% of its previous yearly peak for any single year by January 1, 2043?

80.1%

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that the college enrollment rate will be greater than 26.6% in 2025?

96%

Comments

? comments