Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

What will be the best score on the GAIA benchmark before 2025?

7
5
Total Forecasters17
Community Prediction64.9 (55 - 65.7)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
55
64.91
65.68
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
romeodean
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
AI Technical Benchmarks
AI Benchmarks
Artificial Intelligence
2024 Leaderboard
Performance analysis
ArXiv
Data analysis

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