Question

What will be the largest GDPR fine before 2031, measured in billions of Euros?

9 comments9

Total Forecasters4

Community Prediction2.99

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<1.2

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>20

...

22.2%

1.322

2.989

10.28

10.6%

Authors:

RuslanBes

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Law

Economy & Business

European Central Bank

GDPR fines and notices

European Union

European Economic Area

General Data Protection Regulation

Will a US court fine, or order a company to pay to claimants, >=$100M because of how they used data to train a large AI model before 2026?

10%

How many billions of parameters will the largest machine learning model trained before 2030 have?

2.43M

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 1000 deaths and/or at least $200B 2021 USD in economic damage?

25%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RuslanBes

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Law

Economy & Business

European Central Bank

GDPR fines and notices

European Union

European Economic Area

General Data Protection Regulation

Europe fines Meta almost $840 million for linking Marketplace to Facebook

Business Insider•Nov 15, 2024

EU Fines Meta $840 Million Over Classified Ads Business

Newsweek•Nov 15, 2024

Meta slapped with a €798M fine in Europe over anticompetitive Marketplace practices

TechCrunch•Nov 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a US court fine, or order a company to pay to claimants, >=$100M because of how they used data to train a large AI model before 2026?

10%

How many billions of parameters will the largest machine learning model trained before 2030 have?

2.43M

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 1000 deaths and/or at least $200B 2021 USD in economic damage?

25%