Conflict of Russia and NATO State by 2027?

conditional

condition

NATO Troops in Ukraine by 2027?

if yes

if no

Conflict of Russia and NATO State by 2027?

25%

Conflict of Russia and NATO State by 2027?

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NATO Troops in Ukraine by 2027?	Conflict of Russia and NATO State by 2027?
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community: 25%

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Yes

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Scheduled resolution:

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

Bilateral Ceasefire in Ukraine before 2024? → Large-Scale Conflict Within Russia by 2030?

Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?

20%

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? comments

Authors:

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Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

NATO's Russian Warplane Dilemma

Newsweek•Oct 1, 2024

NATO's new chief is inheriting messy wars and a possible second Trump presidency. It's not going to be easy, security analysts say.

Business Insider•Oct 1, 2024

NATO Nation Says Sending Troops to Ukraine 'Serious Option'

Newsweek•Oct 1, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

Bilateral Ceasefire in Ukraine before 2024? → Large-Scale Conflict Within Russia by 2030?

Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?

20%

MetaculusM

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NATO Troops in Ukraine by 2027?

Conflict of Russia and NATO State by 2027?

Conflict of Russia and NATO State by 2027?

Make a Prediction

NATO Troops in Ukraine by 2027?

Conflict of Russia and NATO State by 2027?

Forecast Timeline

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

Bilateral Ceasefire in Ukraine before 2024? → Large-Scale Conflict Within Russia by 2030?

Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?

Comments

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

Bilateral Ceasefire in Ukraine before 2024? → Large-Scale Conflict Within Russia by 2030?

Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

Bilateral Ceasefire in Ukraine before 2024? → Large-Scale Conflict Within Russia by 2030?

Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

Bilateral Ceasefire in Ukraine before 2024? → Large-Scale Conflict Within Russia by 2030?

Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?