Conflict of Russia and NATO State by 2027?

conditional

condition

NATO Troops in Ukraine by 2027?

32 forecasters

if yes

if no

Conflict of Russia and NATO State by 2027?

25%

Conflict of Russia and NATO State by 2027?

3 comments3

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NATO Troops in Ukraine by 2027?	Conflict of Russia and NATO State by 2027?
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

50%

community: 25%

Forecast Timeline

if Yes

if No

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Opened:

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Scheduled resolution:

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

Bilateral Ceasefire in Ukraine before 2024? → Large-Scale Conflict Within Russia by 2030?

Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?

20%

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Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

NATO Allies Plot to Counter Donald Trump on Ukraine

Newsweek•Nov 11, 2024

What is the future of Ukraine? Trump's return raises uncertainty of U.S. sending more aid

MSNBC•Nov 12, 2024

NATO’s Rutte calls for more Western support for Ukraine, warns of Russian alliances

Associated Press•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

Bilateral Ceasefire in Ukraine before 2024? → Large-Scale Conflict Within Russia by 2030?

Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?

20%