Question

Will the maximum speed of a human spacecraft reach at least 66,000 km/s (0.22 times the speed of light) by 2075?

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Total Forecasters13

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community: 10%

median 10.0%mean 17.3%

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NaumovVD

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European Space Agency

What will be the greatest velocity (in c) attained by a human-made spacecraft before 2050?

0.00235

Conditional on civilization launching one or more von Neumann probes by 2200 that will reach another solar system within 100,000 years, what will be the average speed of the fastest one, in c?

0.0866

Five years after AGI, will another spacecraft have overtaken Voyager 1 as the farthest spacecraft from Earth?

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Authors:

NaumovVD

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

European Space Agency

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What will be the greatest velocity (in c) attained by a human-made spacecraft before 2050?

0.00235

Conditional on civilization launching one or more von Neumann probes by 2200 that will reach another solar system within 100,000 years, what will be the average speed of the fastest one, in c?

0.0866