Question

On January 1, 2026, in how many US states will Waymo's rider-only ride-hailing service be available to the general public?

10 comments10

Total Forecasters29

Community Prediction4.24

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

2.692

4.236

6.1

Authors:

lbiii

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Understanding AI With Timothy B. Lee

Artificial Intelligence

On January 1, 2026, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States?

24%

When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?

When will 5%, 10%, and 20% of the US population have access to L4 or L5 self-driving?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

lbiii

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Understanding AI With Timothy B. Lee

Artificial Intelligence

Waymo compiles ‘largest ever’ dataset of pedestrian and cyclist injuries

Verge•Nov 12, 2024

Now anyone in LA can hail a Waymo robotaxi

TechCrunch•Nov 13, 2024

Waymo opens robotaxis to anyone in Los Angeles, marking its largest expansion yet

NBC•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

On January 1, 2026, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States?

24%