Question
When will a vaccine for any major neurodegenerative disease receive regulatory approval?
Total Forecasters4
Community Prediction2033-05-06 (2029-11-28 - 2037-06-20)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <2024-04-28 | 1.4% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | Nov 2029 | — |
| median | May 2033 | — |
| upper 75% | Jun 2037 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2040-01-01 | 12.8% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Apr 17, 2024
Closes:Dec 30, 2039
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2040
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Apr 17, 2024
Closes:Dec 30, 2039
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2040
