Question

When will a vaccine for any major neurodegenerative disease receive regulatory approval?

3 comments3

Total Forecasters4

Community Prediction2034-05-12 (2029-11-26 - 2038-07-14)

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weight:

My Prediction

community

<2024-04-28

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2040-01-01

...

0.8%

2029-11-26 18:57

2034-05-12 21:23

2038-07-14 04:04

17.0%

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Authors:

leyla

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Food and Drug Administration

5 Of The Most Important Medical Breakthroughs Of 2024

Forbes•Dec 20, 2024

Antibodies Could Soon Help Slow the Aging Process

Wired•Dec 17, 2024

Could mosquitoes deliver vaccines against malaria?

Al Jazeera•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will an HSV-1 vaccine be approved by the FDA?

2032-12-06

When will the FDA approve the first disease-modifying treatment for Parkinson's disease?

2031-02-06

Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be approved by the FDA, EMA, or PMDA before 2028?

80%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

leyla

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Food and Drug Administration

5 Of The Most Important Medical Breakthroughs Of 2024

Forbes•Dec 20, 2024

Antibodies Could Soon Help Slow the Aging Process

Wired•Dec 17, 2024

Could mosquitoes deliver vaccines against malaria?

Al Jazeera•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will an HSV-1 vaccine be approved by the FDA?

2032-12-06

When will the FDA approve the first disease-modifying treatment for Parkinson's disease?

2031-02-06

Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be approved by the FDA, EMA, or PMDA before 2028?

80%

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When will a vaccine for any major neurodegenerative disease receive regulatory approval?

Make a Prediction

When will an HSV-1 vaccine be approved by the FDA?

When will the FDA approve the first disease-modifying treatment for Parkinson's disease?

Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be approved by the FDA, EMA, or PMDA before 2028?

Comments

When will an HSV-1 vaccine be approved by the FDA?

When will the FDA approve the first disease-modifying treatment for Parkinson's disease?

Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be approved by the FDA, EMA, or PMDA before 2028?

When will an HSV-1 vaccine be approved by the FDA?

When will the FDA approve the first disease-modifying treatment for Parkinson's disease?

Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be approved by the FDA, EMA, or PMDA before 2028?

When will an HSV-1 vaccine be approved by the FDA?

When will the FDA approve the first disease-modifying treatment for Parkinson's disease?

Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be approved by the FDA, EMA, or PMDA before 2028?