Question

When will the New York Times publish an article that it claims or acknowledges is 100% written by AI?

3 comments3

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 13

In 2026-2027

In 2025

In 2028-2029

2030 or later

In 2024

Make a Prediction

Candidates		My Prediction		Me
In 2026-2027	45%

In 2025	25%

In 2028-2029	19%

2030 or later	7.2%

In 2024	3%

Total: ?

(? remaining)

Authors:

freelancejosh93 NathanpmYoung

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Artificial Intelligence

The New York Times

Machine learning

Artificial intelligence

Computer science

By 2050, will at least 25% of #1 NYT Best Selling Fiction be primarily written by AI?

44%

When will an AI-written paper first get published in a top 50 scientific journal according to the Scimago Journal rankings?

2029-06

Will Twitter announce a policy of marking tweets as possibly AI generated before 2025?

10%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

freelancejosh93 NathanpmYoung

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Artificial Intelligence

The New York Times

Machine learning

Artificial intelligence

Computer science

By 2050, will at least 25% of #1 NYT Best Selling Fiction be primarily written by AI?

44%

When will an AI-written paper first get published in a top 50 scientific journal according to the Scimago Journal rankings?

2029-06

Will Twitter announce a policy of marking tweets as possibly AI generated before 2025?

10%

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When will the New York Times publish an article that it claims or acknowledges is 100% written by AI?

Forecast Timeline

Make a Prediction

By 2050, will at least 25% of #1 NYT Best Selling Fiction be primarily written by AI?

When will an AI-written paper first get published in a top 50 scientific journal according to the Scimago Journal rankings?

Will Twitter announce a policy of marking tweets as possibly AI generated before 2025?

Comments

By 2050, will at least 25% of #1 NYT Best Selling Fiction be primarily written by AI?

When will an AI-written paper first get published in a top 50 scientific journal according to the Scimago Journal rankings?

Will Twitter announce a policy of marking tweets as possibly AI generated before 2025?

By 2050, will at least 25% of #1 NYT Best Selling Fiction be primarily written by AI?

When will an AI-written paper first get published in a top 50 scientific journal according to the Scimago Journal rankings?

Will Twitter announce a policy of marking tweets as possibly AI generated before 2025?

By 2050, will at least 25% of #1 NYT Best Selling Fiction be primarily written by AI?

When will an AI-written paper first get published in a top 50 scientific journal according to the Scimago Journal rankings?

Will Twitter announce a policy of marking tweets as possibly AI generated before 2025?