Question
When will OpenAI publicly release Sora, its text-to-video model?
Total Forecasters15
Community Prediction2025-02-09 (2024-12-22 - 2025-05-11)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 22 Dec 2024 | — |
| median | 09 Feb 2025 | — |
| upper 75% | 11 May 2025 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2025-12-30 | 10.0% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Apr 16, 2024
Closes:Dec 29, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Apr 16, 2024
Closes:Dec 29, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
