Question

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2025?

66 comments66

Total Forecasters107

Community Prediction5%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 5%

median 5.0%mean 11.9%

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Respiratory Outlook 2023/24

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Influenza A virus subtype H5N1

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

20%

How many additional highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 infections will be reported in humans in the United States in 2024?

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

194

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Respiratory Outlook 2023/24

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Influenza A virus subtype H5N1

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Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

20%

How many additional highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 infections will be reported in humans in the United States in 2024?

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

194