Question

Will President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva be reelected as Brazil's president in October of 2026?

7 comments7

Total Forecasters89

Community Prediction

33.3%

(21% - 54%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 33.3%

Authors:

viniciusmjusto

Opened:

Apr 13, 2024

Closes:

Oct 3, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Oct 29, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 16, 2024

2006 Brazilian general election

Jair Bolsonaro

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Workers' Party (Brazil)

Superior Electoral Court

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Associated Press•Mar 25, 2025

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Will Lula be a candidate for president of Brazil in 2026?

50.2%

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Will Alexandre de Moraes cease to be a minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil before 2026?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

viniciusmjusto

Opened:

Apr 13, 2024

Closes:

Oct 3, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Oct 29, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 16, 2024

2006 Brazilian general election

Jair Bolsonaro

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Workers' Party (Brazil)

Superior Electoral Court

Brazil’s Supreme Court poised to decide if Bolsonaro will stand trial over coup attempt accusation

Associated Press•Mar 25, 2025

Ednaldo Rodrigues re-elected as Brazil soccer boss to 2030

Associated Press•Mar 25, 2025

Brazil’s top court to decide if ex-President Bolsonaro will face charges. What could happen next?

Associated Press•Mar 24, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Lula be a candidate for president of Brazil in 2026?

50.2%

Will the next president of Ecuador remain in office through the end of their term?

95%