Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

We're considering changes to the Quarterly Cup and want to hear from you, take our short survey to share your thoughts and help shape future iterations of the Cup.

M

Group

Will AI capabilities plateau with the next generation (GPT-5, etc.) of language models?

20
34
53 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Make a Prediction

Company / ModelMe
Google DeepMind / Gemini 2 Ultra
10%
Anthropic / Claude 4 Opus
8.5%
OpenAI / GPT-5
2.4%
Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:

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