Question

Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?

Resolved :Yes

22 comments22

Total Forecasters167

Community Prediction52%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 52%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-31.9

Community Peer Score

9.0

median 52.0%mean 49.4%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Leber congenital amaurosis

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Leber congenital amaurosis

How A.I. Is Disrupting Pharma: The High-Stakes Race to Revolutionize Drug Discovery

Observer (NY)•Nov 12, 2024

23andMe is ending its cancer research program and slashing over 200 jobs

Verge•Nov 12, 2024

Cutting-edge test uses DNA sequencing to yield diagnoses for some medical mysteries

NBC•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many gene-edited babies will have been born worldwide by the end of 2029?

54.9

Will the first human clone be made in China?

38.3%

When will Altos Labs first trial an anti-aging intervention in humans?

2031-01-15