Question

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

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Total Forecasters23

Community Prediction50% (40% - 62%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 50%

Authors:

Bioman222

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Health & Pandemics

Influenza A virus subtype H1N1

Virology

2009 swine flu pandemic

Public Health Emergency of International Concern

World Health Organization

Bird flu suddenly got serious in 2024, infecting dozens of people

New Scientist•Dec 13, 2024

CDC Confirms First ‘Severe’ Human Bird Flu Case In US—Here’s What To Know

Forbes•Dec 19, 2024

California declares state of emergency as H5N1 bird flu threatens pandemic... in chilling echo of Covid dark days

Daily Mail•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?

10%

Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2025?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Bioman222

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Health & Pandemics

Influenza A virus subtype H1N1

Virology

2009 swine flu pandemic

Public Health Emergency of International Concern

World Health Organization

Bird flu suddenly got serious in 2024, infecting dozens of people

New Scientist•Dec 13, 2024

CDC Confirms First ‘Severe’ Human Bird Flu Case In US—Here’s What To Know

Forbes•Dec 19, 2024

California declares state of emergency as H5N1 bird flu threatens pandemic... in chilling echo of Covid dark days

Daily Mail•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?

10%

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Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

Make a Prediction

Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?

Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2025?

Comments

Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?

Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2025?

Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?

Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2025?

Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?

Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2025?