Question

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters24

Community Prediction60%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 60%

median 60.0%mean 58.1%

Authors:

konon454 ekaterina8vikhrova

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Artificial Intelligence

Sports & Entertainment

Philosophy of science

AlphaGo

Deep Blue (chess computer)

Year 2038 problem

Will RoboCup announce that robots have beaten professional human soccer players before 2050?

55%

When will robots win a game of association football (soccer) against professional human players?

2047-11-07

Will the winning bot in any Quarterly AI Benchmarking tournament beat the human Pro aggregate before Q3 of 2025?

35%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

konon454 ekaterina8vikhrova

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Artificial Intelligence

Sports & Entertainment

Philosophy of science

AlphaGo

Deep Blue (chess computer)

Year 2038 problem

Super Intelligent AI Might Be Online by 2025. Not Terrified? You Should Be

Red State•Nov 13, 2024

OpenAI reportedly plans to launch an AI agent early next year

Verge•Nov 14, 2024

OpenAI set to launch ‘Operator’ in January — AI agents that can do tasks for you

•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will RoboCup announce that robots have beaten professional human soccer players before 2050?

55%

When will robots win a game of association football (soccer) against professional human players?

2047-11-07

Will the winning bot in any Quarterly AI Benchmarking tournament beat the human Pro aggregate before Q3 of 2025?

35%