Question
If at least 100 human cases of H5N1 are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?
Resolved :Annulled1.32Total Forecasters44
Community Prediction1.32 (0.642 - 2.7)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <0.05 | 6.0% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 0.6423 | — |
| median | 1.317 | — |
| upper 75% | 2.705 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >75 | 0.6% | — |
What was the final result?Annulled
Authors:
Opened:May 14, 2024
Closes:Mar 1, 2025
Resolves:Mar 1, 2025
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:May 14, 2024
Closes:Mar 1, 2025
Resolves:Mar 1, 2025
