Question

Will diplomatic expulsions or recalls take place between the Philippines and China before August 1, 2024?

Resolved :No1%

1 comment1

Total Forecasters28

Community Prediction1% (0.3% - 5%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

69.5

Community Peer Score

13.9

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Authors:

RyanBeck johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China

China Reacts to US's Military Power Report

Newsweek•Dec 20, 2024

'We're Going to Get Hit' - China Expert Issues Dire Warning

Red State•Dec 19, 2024

Video Shows Chinese Warship Deployed to South China Sea

Newsweek•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will armed conflict between the Philippines and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

20%

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

0.1%

Will the U.S. deploy nuclear missiles to Japan or the Philippines before 2035?

9.4%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China

China Reacts to US's Military Power Report

Newsweek•Dec 20, 2024

'We're Going to Get Hit' - China Expert Issues Dire Warning

Red State•Dec 19, 2024

Video Shows Chinese Warship Deployed to South China Sea

Newsweek•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will armed conflict between the Philippines and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

20%

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

0.1%

Will the U.S. deploy nuclear missiles to Japan or the Philippines before 2035?

9.4%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will diplomatic expulsions or recalls take place between the Philippines and China before August 1, 2024?

Make a Prediction

Will armed conflict between the Philippines and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

Will the U.S. deploy nuclear missiles to Japan or the Philippines before 2035?

Comments

Will armed conflict between the Philippines and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

Will the U.S. deploy nuclear missiles to Japan or the Philippines before 2035?

Will armed conflict between the Philippines and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

Will the U.S. deploy nuclear missiles to Japan or the Philippines before 2035?

Will armed conflict between the Philippines and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

Will the U.S. deploy nuclear missiles to Japan or the Philippines before 2035?