Question

Pandemic series: a major naturally-originated pandemic by 2026?

46 comments46

Total Forecasters238

Community Prediction10% (5% - 20%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 10%

This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closed:

Scheduled resolution:

Pandemic Series (2018)

Health & Pandemics

Natural Sciences

2016-2020 Leaderboard

World Health Organization

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Epidemiology

Covid Ends?

CounterPunch•Dec 13, 2024

Bird flu suddenly got serious in 2024, infecting dozens of people

New Scientist•Dec 13, 2024

Predictive Analysis: Pandemic 2.0 Will Drop Early in Trump Term

PJ Media•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to naturally occuring pandemics?

Ragnarök Question Series: if a natural pandemic catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closed:

Scheduled resolution:

Pandemic Series (2018)

Health & Pandemics

Natural Sciences

2016-2020 Leaderboard

World Health Organization

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Epidemiology

Covid Ends?

CounterPunch•Dec 13, 2024

Bird flu suddenly got serious in 2024, infecting dozens of people

New Scientist•Dec 13, 2024

Predictive Analysis: Pandemic 2.0 Will Drop Early in Trump Term

PJ Media•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

MetaculusM

Pandemic series: a major naturally-originated pandemic by 2026?

Make a Prediction

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to naturally occuring pandemics?

Ragnarök Question Series: if a natural pandemic catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Comments

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to naturally occuring pandemics?

Ragnarök Question Series: if a natural pandemic catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to naturally occuring pandemics?

Ragnarök Question Series: if a natural pandemic catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to naturally occuring pandemics?

Ragnarök Question Series: if a natural pandemic catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?