Question

Will there be a major nuclear or radiological accident before January 1, 2022?

Resolved :No

13 comments13

Total Forecasters129

Community Prediction7%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 7%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

87.3

Community Peer Score

6.5

median 7.0%mean 8.2%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Nuclear Technology & Risks

International Atomic Energy Agency

Civil engineering

United Nations Security Council

Risk management

International Nuclear Event Scale

Chernobyl disaster

Fukushima Daiichi nuclear disaster

Will there be a major nuclear accident before 2030?

20%

Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2025?

Will there be at least 1 fatality from a non-test nuclear detonation before 2025?

Comments

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