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Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
Total Forecasters233
Community Prediction52% (20% - 88%)
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Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?
40%
By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?
30%
Ragnarök Question Series: if catastrophe caused by some "other risk" occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
19%
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Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?
40%
By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?
30%
Ragnarök Question Series: if catastrophe caused by some "other risk" occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
19%