Question

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

1 comment1

Total Forecasters145

Community Prediction8%

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50%

community: 8%

median 8.0%mean 14.4%

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Weapon of mass destruction

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Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

35%

Ragnarök Question Series: if catastrophe caused by some "other risk" occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

22%

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Weapon of mass destruction

China's army of super soldiers: How Beijing is ruthlessly amassing the world's biggest DNA database - much of it harvested from millions in the West

Daily Mail•Nov 6, 2024

Meet The 50-Year Flower That Causes A Famine In This World Region Every Time It Blooms

Forbes•Nov 11, 2024

A Roadmap to AI Utopia

Time•Nov 12, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

35%

Ragnarök Question Series: if catastrophe caused by some "other risk" occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

22%