Question

Will the cost of developing a bioproduct be reduced by 100x before 2045, compared with 2024?

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Total Forecasters8

Community Prediction55% (50% - 55%)

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50%

community: 55%

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Authors:

johnnycaffeine

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Synthetic Biology at Scale

Economy & Business

Technology

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Forbes•Dec 20, 2024

The Fed's Warnings On Inflation Are Bad News For Biotech Startups

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Scientific American•Dec 15, 2024

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Will a high fidelity fermentation test that costs under $10 be commercially available before 2035?

8.4%

High fidelity fermentation test <$10 by 2035? → Will bioproduct development costs go ↓ 100x?

Will gasified lignocellulosic biomass and microbial gas fermentation scale to 500 million tons before 2050?

20%

Comments

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Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Synthetic Biology at Scale

Economy & Business

Technology

5 Of The Most Important Medical Breakthroughs Of 2024

Forbes•Dec 20, 2024

The Fed's Warnings On Inflation Are Bad News For Biotech Startups

Forbes•Dec 20, 2024

Creating ‘Mirror Life’ Could Be Disastrous, Scientists Warn

Scientific American•Dec 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a high fidelity fermentation test that costs under $10 be commercially available before 2035?

8.4%

High fidelity fermentation test <$10 by 2035? → Will bioproduct development costs go ↓ 100x?

Will gasified lignocellulosic biomass and microbial gas fermentation scale to 500 million tons before 2050?

20%

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Will the cost of developing a bioproduct be reduced by 100x before 2045, compared with 2024?

Make a Prediction

Will a high fidelity fermentation test that costs under $10 be commercially available before 2035?

High fidelity fermentation test <$10 by 2035? → Will bioproduct development costs go ↓ 100x?

Will gasified lignocellulosic biomass and microbial gas fermentation scale to 500 million tons before 2050?

Comments

Will a high fidelity fermentation test that costs under $10 be commercially available before 2035?

High fidelity fermentation test <$10 by 2035? → Will bioproduct development costs go ↓ 100x?

Will gasified lignocellulosic biomass and microbial gas fermentation scale to 500 million tons before 2050?

Will a high fidelity fermentation test that costs under $10 be commercially available before 2035?

High fidelity fermentation test <$10 by 2035? → Will bioproduct development costs go ↓ 100x?

Will gasified lignocellulosic biomass and microbial gas fermentation scale to 500 million tons before 2050?

Will a high fidelity fermentation test that costs under $10 be commercially available before 2035?

High fidelity fermentation test <$10 by 2035? → Will bioproduct development costs go ↓ 100x?

Will gasified lignocellulosic biomass and microbial gas fermentation scale to 500 million tons before 2050?