MetaculusM

Question

Will the cost of developing a bioproduct be reduced by 100x before 2045, compared with 2024?

Total Forecasters9

Community Prediction54.9% (50% - 55%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 54.9%

Authors:

Opened:

Jul 3, 2024

Closes:

Dec 30, 2044

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2045

Synthetic Biology at Scale

Economy & Business

Founded by DeepMind alumnus, Latent Labs launches with $50M to make biology programmable

TechCrunch•Feb 13, 2025

Enzymes are the engines of life − machine learning tools could help scientists design new ones to tackle disease and climate change

The Conversation•Feb 14, 2025

How DeepSeek's new AI models are impacting the profits of global companies

CNBC•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Opened:

Jul 3, 2024

Closes:

Dec 30, 2044

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2045

Synthetic Biology at Scale

Economy & Business

Founded by DeepMind alumnus, Latent Labs launches with $50M to make biology programmable

TechCrunch•Feb 13, 2025

Enzymes are the engines of life − machine learning tools could help scientists design new ones to tackle disease and climate change

The Conversation•Feb 14, 2025

How DeepSeek's new AI models are impacting the profits of global companies

CNBC•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch