2039 cost of point-source carbon capture

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condition

2028: mini assay of carbon capture solvent

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if no

2039 cost of point-source carbon capture

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2039 cost of point-source carbon capture

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2028: mini assay of carbon capture solvent	2039 cost of point-source carbon capture
if yes	My Prediction: -
if no	My Prediction: -

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weight:

	<10	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>200
community	—	...	...	...	—
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<10	—	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	...	—
median	...	—
upper 75%	...	—
Upper bound
>200	—	—

Forecast Timeline

if Yes

if No

Authors:

BrunoParga

Opened:

Jul 4, 2024

Closes:

Jun 30, 2039

Scheduled resolution:

Mar 31, 2041

Synthetic Biology at Scale

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Technology

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Forbes•Feb 13, 2025

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New York Times•Feb 18, 2025

UK government gives the go-ahead to store 100 MILLION tonnes of CO2 under the North Sea - but experts raise fears the greenhouse gas could leak and taint water supplies

Daily Mail•Feb 19, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Carbon capture: will there be a miniaturized assay to measure CO₂ absorption of water-based solvents before 2028?

At the end of 2039, what will be the cost of point-source carbon capture for dilute sources (e.g. coal power plants)?

68.8

When will direct air carbon capture tech cost <$50 (2020 USD) per ton of CO2?

2039-06-01

Comments

? comments

Authors:

BrunoParga

Opened:

Jul 4, 2024

Closes:

Jun 30, 2039

Scheduled resolution:

Mar 31, 2041

Synthetic Biology at Scale

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Technology

Tough But Doable? Financing Net Zero May Require $4 Trillion By 2050

Forbes•Feb 13, 2025

Will There Be Enough Power to Remove Carbon From the Sky?

New York Times•Feb 18, 2025

UK government gives the go-ahead to store 100 MILLION tonnes of CO2 under the North Sea - but experts raise fears the greenhouse gas could leak and taint water supplies

Daily Mail•Feb 19, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Carbon capture: will there be a miniaturized assay to measure CO₂ absorption of water-based solvents before 2028?

At the end of 2039, what will be the cost of point-source carbon capture for dilute sources (e.g. coal power plants)?

68.8

When will direct air carbon capture tech cost <$50 (2020 USD) per ton of CO2?

2039-06-01