Question
Before October 1, 2024, will there be an armed forces death in a conflict opposing China to Taiwan, the United States, the Philippines, or Japan?
Resolved :No0.5%Total Forecasters185
Community Prediction0.5% (0.1% - 1%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?No
Community Baseline Score
98.5
Community Peer Score
4.8
Authors:
Opened:Jul 8, 2024
Closes:Sep 30, 2024
Resolves:Oct 1, 2024
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 8, 2024
Closes:Sep 30, 2024
Resolves:Oct 1, 2024