Question

Will any country's military expenditure exceed that of the United States before 2030?

15 comments15

Total Forecasters194

Community Prediction3% (1.7% - 7%)

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50%

community: 3%

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Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

NATO Calls on Nations To Divert Social Security Money to Defense

Newsweek•Dec 16, 2024

Europeans are hoping they can buy more guns but keep their butter

Economist•Dec 18, 2024

China has 600 nukes already, and it wants to beat US missile defenses, the Pentagon says

Business Insider•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What percentage of world GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2030?

2.47

Chinese GDP Overtakes US Before 2030? → US-China war before 2035?

When will China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically?

2060-05-09

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

NATO Calls on Nations To Divert Social Security Money to Defense

Newsweek•Dec 16, 2024

Europeans are hoping they can buy more guns but keep their butter

Economist•Dec 18, 2024

China has 600 nukes already, and it wants to beat US missile defenses, the Pentagon says

Business Insider•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What percentage of world GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2030?

2.47

Chinese GDP Overtakes US Before 2030? → US-China war before 2035?

When will China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically?

2060-05-09