M

Question

Will a Israel-Hamas conflict ceasefire lasting at least 30 days be agreed to before November 5th, 2024?

Resolved :No0.1%
Total Forecasters75
Community Prediction0.1% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
85.3
Community Peer Score
18.0
Authors:
Opened:Jul 14, 2024
Closes:Nov 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 5, 2025

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