M

Question

Will a Israel-Hamas conflict ceasefire lasting at least 30 days be agreed to before November 5th, 2024?

Resolved :No
14
31
Total Forecasters75
Community Prediction0.1%

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50%
community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
85.3
Community Peer Score
18.0
median 0.1%mean 1.2%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
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Geopolitics
Politics

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