M

Question

Between July 17 and July 28, 2024, will the strongest geomagnetic storm have a K-index ("Kp") greater than 4 and less than or equal to 5?

Resolved :Yes
48
Total Forecasters33
Community Prediction47%

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 47%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
0.0
Community Peer Score
0.0
median 47.0%mean 42.0%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
Tom_Metaculus
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Include Bots:Yes
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