Question

What will be the highest level of annual GDP growth in the US before 2030?

Total Forecasters67

Community Prediction6.13 (5.59 - 7.26)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

weight:

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>30
community	5.588	6.133	7.255	4.3%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	5.588	—
median	6.133	—
upper 75%	7.255	—
Upper bound
>30	4.3%	—

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Jul 9, 2020

Closes:

Apr 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Apr 1, 2030

Economy & Business

United States

US Department of the Treasury

One chart shows the US is a rare major economy where wages have been outpacing inflation

Business Insider•Feb 22, 2025

Spending cuts and mass layoffs have made growth the biggest question mark for US stocks

Business Insider•Feb 25, 2025

The Government Needs To Keep The Wealthy Spending And GDP Growing

Forbes•Feb 27, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030?

18%

What will real GDP growth be in the United States in the following years?

1.96

What will be the annualized percent real GDP growth rate in the United States from 2026 to 2028?

2.84

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Jul 9, 2020

Closes:

Apr 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Apr 1, 2030

Economy & Business

United States

US Department of the Treasury

One chart shows the US is a rare major economy where wages have been outpacing inflation

Business Insider•Feb 22, 2025

Spending cuts and mass layoffs have made growth the biggest question mark for US stocks

Business Insider•Feb 25, 2025

The Government Needs To Keep The Wealthy Spending And GDP Growing

Forbes•Feb 27, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030?

18%

What will real GDP growth be in the United States in the following years?

1.96

What will be the annualized percent real GDP growth rate in the United States from 2026 to 2028?

2.84