Question

By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?

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Total Forecasters31

Community Prediction17% (3% - 75%)

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50%

community: 17%

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Authors:

will_aldred

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Five Years After AGI

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Artificial Intelligence

Commonwealth Fusion Systems just picked its first commercial site partly because of its proximity to Washington, D.C.

TechCrunch•Dec 18, 2024

Astronomers Propose Radical New Way To Look For Signs Of Energy- Hungry Aliens

Forbes•Dec 13, 2024

Focused Energy buys two of the world’s most powerful lasers for its fusion quest

TechCrunch•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world's primary energy?

2078-05-25

When will nuclear fusion provide at least 0.1% of the world's primary energy?

2049-06-10

What percent of global primary energy will come from nuclear fission or fusion power in the following years?

4.24

Comments

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Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Five Years After AGI

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Artificial Intelligence

Commonwealth Fusion Systems just picked its first commercial site partly because of its proximity to Washington, D.C.

TechCrunch•Dec 18, 2024

Astronomers Propose Radical New Way To Look For Signs Of Energy- Hungry Aliens

Forbes•Dec 13, 2024

Focused Energy buys two of the world’s most powerful lasers for its fusion quest

TechCrunch•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world's primary energy?

2078-05-25

When will nuclear fusion provide at least 0.1% of the world's primary energy?

2049-06-10

What percent of global primary energy will come from nuclear fission or fusion power in the following years?

4.24

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By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?

Make a Prediction

When will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world's primary energy?

When will nuclear fusion provide at least 0.1% of the world's primary energy?

What percent of global primary energy will come from nuclear fission or fusion power in the following years?

Comments

When will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world's primary energy?

When will nuclear fusion provide at least 0.1% of the world's primary energy?

What percent of global primary energy will come from nuclear fission or fusion power in the following years?

When will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world's primary energy?

When will nuclear fusion provide at least 0.1% of the world's primary energy?

What percent of global primary energy will come from nuclear fission or fusion power in the following years?

When will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world's primary energy?

When will nuclear fusion provide at least 0.1% of the world's primary energy?

What percent of global primary energy will come from nuclear fission or fusion power in the following years?