Question

Five years after AGI, will there be universal basic income?

8 comments8

Total Forecasters59

Community Prediction20% (10% - 60%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 20%

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Jul 22, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2036

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2036

Five Years After AGI

Economy & Business

Artificial Intelligence

Musk Predicts a Future With Super-Intelligent ‘Humanoid Robots’ Where Money is Obsolete

InfoWars•Feb 17, 2025

Some workers are warming up to AI and think it will help their career

Business Insider•Feb 20, 2025

Scale AI’s Alexandr Wang Predicts Future Office Workers Will Manage ‘Pods’ of A.I. Agents

Observer (NY)•Feb 23, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US, UK, China, or any of the countries in the EU enact a universal basic income before 2030?

Will a Guaranteed Minimum Income be introduced in any EU country before 2041?

72%

Five years after AGI, will an AI Windfall Clause have been activated?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Jul 22, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2036

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2036

Five Years After AGI

Economy & Business

Artificial Intelligence

Musk Predicts a Future With Super-Intelligent ‘Humanoid Robots’ Where Money is Obsolete

InfoWars•Feb 17, 2025

Some workers are warming up to AI and think it will help their career

Business Insider•Feb 20, 2025

Scale AI’s Alexandr Wang Predicts Future Office Workers Will Manage ‘Pods’ of A.I. Agents

Observer (NY)•Feb 23, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US, UK, China, or any of the countries in the EU enact a universal basic income before 2030?

Will a Guaranteed Minimum Income be introduced in any EU country before 2041?

72%